Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1352

   Mesoscale Discussion 1352
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0321 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

   Areas affected...the Texas Panhandle into southwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 272021Z - 272245Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of isolated severe wind gusts of
   60-70+ mph appear possible late this afternoon into early evening.
   The limited areal coverage of the threat precludes a watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar and satellite data indicate deepening
   cumulus within localized confluent zones over the northern and
   southern TX Panhandle, as well as along the Davis Mountains in
   southwest TX. Additional mid/high-level cloudiness appears to be
   associated with a weak disturbance moving through the region, which
   may aid in isolated to widely scattered storm development amidst an
   otherwise weakly confluent surface regime. Modification of the 18Z
   MAF sounding for current surface conditions yields around 1500 J/kg
   of SBCAPE with a 3-4 km deep, dry sub-cloud layer. Vertical shear is
   weak, which should limit the potential for storm organization and
   duration. Nonetheless, the thermodynamic environment appears
   supportive of isolated severe wind gusts of 60-70+ mph.

   ..Mead/Guyer.. 06/27/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   34620284 35580265 36140225 36410137 36150063 34460028
               33180110 31870193 30900259 29950325 30030400 30510425
               31750395 34620284 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH