Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1351

   Mesoscale Discussion 1351
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0248 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

   Areas affected...portions of the western Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 271948Z - 272145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Clusters of storms may produce sporadic damaging gusts
   this afternoon across portions of the western Carolinas. A watch is
   not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms are ongoing across portions
   of the southern Appalachians this afternoon. These storms are near a
   subtle mid-level jet max as sampled by the KMRX VWP. Additionally,
   short-term RAP profiles in the area show a reasonably moist
   atmosphere given the location and time of year, with some drier
   boundary layer air near the mountains. The enhanced mid-level flow
   provides enough shear (25-30 kts) to organize the convection into
   line segments as seen on regional WSR-88D. A few of these line
   segments have produced gusts near or above 40 kt over the last hour
   or so. These storms may produce occasional sporadic damaging gusts
   as they move eastward, and a watch is not anticipated at this time,
   however, trends will be monitored.

   ..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/27/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35828198 36388125 36588080 36528013 36347982 35768017
               35078042 34238090 33808139 33798201 34008259 34648259
               35348243 35828198 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH