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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1350

Mesoscale Discussion 1350
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1350
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0835 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

   Areas affected...North-central Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 440...

   Valid 210135Z - 210330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 440

   SUMMARY...The threat of severe gusts will continue this evening with
   a organized bowing segment in Cherry County moving south-southeast
   along the warm front. Gusts of 60-75 mph appear possible.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing segment has developed within Cherry County as
   a result of linear convection interacting with a supercell. This
   portion of the convective line is also moving along the warm front
   in northern Nebraska. With generally low MLCIN inflow (per 00Z LBF
   sounding), this activity will likely continue south-southeast along
   the boundary. KLNX velocity data suggest gusts of 60-75 mph are
   possible. Though the supercell farther east in Holt County has
   become more disorganized over the last few hours, another surge in
   the line could occur if they are able to interact later this
   evening. Severe gusts will the primary hazard along with brief
   circulations/tornadoes near the warm front. Large-hail potential
   should remain isolated given convective mode.

   A watch may be needed east of WW440 should the supercell in Holt
   County maintains its intensity.

   ..Wendt.. 06/21/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   42880107 43000069 42559852 42389818 42009829 41909958
               42040074 42190125 42880107 

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