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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1303

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-24 21:09:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1303
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MD 1303 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1303
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0806 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

   Areas affected...portions of northeastern Illinois into northwestern
   Indiana

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387...

   Valid 250106Z - 250230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat will gradually diminish over the next
   1-2 hours. Isolated large hail, damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a
   brief tornado remain possible in the meantime.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain ongoing
   across portions of northeastern Illinois and are beginning to spread
   into northwestern Indiana as of 0100 UTC. A mixed storm mode of
   supercells and clusters has produced sporadic large hail and
   damaging wind reports over the past 1-2 hours, and this threat is
   expected to persist east-southeastward into far northwestern
   Indiana, with isolated large hail, damaging wind gusts, and perhaps
   a brief tornado remaining possible. Objective analysis indicates
   that available buoyancy decreases rapidly with eastward extent,
   however. Coupled with the onset of low-level nocturnal
   cooling/stabilization and the eastward progression of the attendant
   mid-level shortwave trough, this will result in a gradually
   diminishing severe threat over the next couple of hours. A local
   watch extension could be needed should a stronger storm or two
   persist through the expiration time of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387
   at 0300 UTC, but additional watch issuance is not anticipated at
   this time.

   ..Chalmers.. 06/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...DVN...

   LAT...LON   42278925 42438890 42418821 42168719 41788692 41298688
               40878710 40708750 40778834 41138912 41808957 42098950
               42278925 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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