Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1284

   Mesoscale Discussion 1284
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0658 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

   Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Colorado

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

   Valid 232358Z - 240100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe hail will remain a concern with ongoing supercells.
   A couple of severe gusts could occur as well.

   DISCUSSION...Splitting supercells have developed east of I-25, and
   are progressing eastward. Regional VADs and 23Z mesoanalysis depict
   primarily straight, elongated hodographs over central and eastern
   CO, suggesting that severe hail will remain likely with splitting
   supercells given 2500+ J/kg MLCAPE. Given 60 kts of effective bulk
   shear comprising the straight hodographs, 2.0-3.5 inch diameter hail
   remains possible, especially with left-splitting supercells. A
   couple of severe gusts or a tornado may also occur.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/23/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   38780491 39660449 40010372 40100297 39930228 39300202
               38570232 38310283 38220350 38280422 38780491 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN