US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1212

Mesoscale Discussion 1212
< Previous MD
MD 1212 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1212
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1134 PM CDT Sat Jun 08 2024

   Areas affected...Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400...

   Valid 090434Z - 090600Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400

   SUMMARY...Severe threat will spread across central into eastern
   portions of ww0400 over the next several hours. Large hail and
   damaging winds remain possible.

   DISCUSSION...Convection that evolved over the High Plains of eastern
   CO has grown upscale as it spreads downstream. Latest radar data
   suggests a maturing MCS is now located over western KS with an
   apparent MCV over northwest Hodgeman County. Over the last hour or
   so, an east-west band of convection  has developed well ahead of the
   main complex and is beginning to intensify as far downstream as
   Chase County. Low-level warm advection will likely aid new
   development across southeast KS over the next few hours. Of more
   significance, a substantial precip shield has evolved over northwest
   KS and this may contribute to a surging squall line that is
   progressing across the DDC CWA. Severe winds have been noted with
   this convection across much of eastern CO into western KS. With time
   this band of convection may become oriented more north-south which
   would continue to favor very strong winds along the leading edge of
   this activity.

   ..Darrow.. 06/09/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38600003 38549552 37129620 36860035 38600003 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home

Source link