Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1200

   Mesoscale Discussion 1200
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0138 AM CDT Sat Jun 08 2024

   Areas affected...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northeast
   Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 080638Z - 080815Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A line of storms across southeast Kansas may produce
   isolated damaging wind gusts as it moves southeast this morning.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across eastern Kansas has become
   somewhat better organized in the past 30 minutes. The more outflow
   dominant appearance on 0.5 degree reflectivity from KTWX and KEAX
   has become better balanced and subsequently, echo tops have
   increased. This is likely related to the strengthening low-level jet
   (50 knots per INX VWP) across the region. A dry airmass across
   Missouri has triggered a quick demise of stronger storms that move
   out of Kansas. However, there remains a corridor of better moisture
   and buoyancy across southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma with
   modest moisture in southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas. This
   may support strong/occasionally severe wind gusts with the squall
   line as it moves southeast through the morning hours.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38119639 38219582 38389531 38489515 38499481 38329439
               37969399 37139366 36439355 36059407 36049477 36189555
               36649624 37249661 38119639