Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1197

   Mesoscale Discussion 1197
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0905 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024

   Areas affected...Parts of northwest into central KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396...397...

   Valid 080205Z - 080300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396, 397
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Wind gusts of 65-80 mph remain possible this evening as a
   storm cluster moves east-southeastward, along with some potential
   for hail and possibly a tornado.

   DISCUSSION...An earlier supercell cluster across northwest KS has
   shown some signs of accelerating east-southeastward, with less of a
   discrete character compared to earlier this evening. This may
   indicate a transition to more of a severe-wind threat, as evidenced
   by recent mesonet gusts of 60-80 mph across Trego County, KS.
   Despite a tendency for gradually increasing CINH with time tonight,
   a strengthening southerly low-level jet (as noted on the KICT VWP)
   may help to sustain this cluster as it moves east-southeastward,
   with a continued short-term threat for severe gusts potentially in
   the 65-80 mph range. In addition, increasing low-level shear/SRH
   with time and southeastward extent could support the threat of a
   tornado. MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg and strong effective shear
   will also continue to support a hail threat with any stronger cells
   embedded within the cluster as it approaches parts of central KS.

   ..Dean.. 06/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   39389949 38949766 38319761 38239819 38339881 38559928
               38779952 39009975 39389949