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| Mesoscale Discussion 1174 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1174
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024
Areas affected...Much of Maine and southern New Hampshire
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 051654Z - 051900Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop
across parts of ME and southern NH. A few strong/severe storms are
possible with gusty winds and hail. A WW is not currently
anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows increasing cu/tcu
across western ME and southern NH. This area has warmed into the
70s and lower 80s, with dewpoints in the mid 60s yielding SBCAPE
values of 1000-1500 J/kg. Relatively steep low-level lapse rates
and sufficiently strong northwesterly flow aloft will aid in the
development of a few organized cells this afternoon capable of
locally gusty winds. Cold temperatures aloft and moderately steep
mid-level lapse rates may also encourage the risk of hail in the
strongest cells. It appears that the overall coverage of
strong/severe storms will be limited. Thus, a WW is not currently
anticipated.
..Hart/Smith.. 06/05/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...
LAT...LON 42807103 43037170 43717163 44677089 45906979 46296853
46016746 45146724 44346776 43996855 43127028 42807103
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