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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1170

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-17 18:58:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1170
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1170
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0555 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of southwest WI and vicinity

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 346...

   Valid 172255Z - 180030Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 346 continues.

   SUMMARY...Ongoing tornado potential may continue through early
   evening. Isolated hail and damaging wind are also possible.

   DISCUSSION...A noticeable uptick in storm organization has recently
   occurred across extreme northeast IA, with supercell evolution and
   development of a relatively long-lived tornado. The embedded
   supercell is now moving into southwest WI. While instability remains
   rather modest, favorable deep-layer shear and proximity to low-level
   vorticity in the vicinity of a surface low has helped to increase
   tornado potential, and some tornado threat may spread across a
   larger portion of southwest WI through early evening, where some
   modest airmass recovery has occurred. A Tornado Watch was recently
   issued in order to address the short-term tornado threat. Isolated
   hail and damaging wind also remain possible.

   ..Dean.. 06/17/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...

   LAT...LON   43069104 43269065 43279013 43028970 42728970 42428985
               42449025 42479053 42549074 42629096 42739122 42909125
               43069104 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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