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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1144












Mesoscale Discussion 1144
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1144
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1041 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...North-central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382...

   Valid 030341Z - 030530Z

   CORRECTED FOR WORDING

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts will be possible over the next
   couple of hours across parts of southeast Nebraska and north-central
   Kansas. Any severe threat should be marginal. Given current trends,
   a downstream watch appears unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a linear MCS over
   southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas. This convective line is
   forecast to move southeastward into northeast Kansas and far
   southeast Nebraska over the next few hours. Although RAP analysis
   shows moderate instability present ahead of the line, forecast
   soundings show weak deep-layer shear and lapse rates. For this
   reason, any severe threat is expected to remain marginal. A few
   strong wind gusts will be possible along or near the leading edge of
   the line, but the threat is expected to remain very isolated.

   ..Broyles.. 06/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   41109834 40479862 39599934 39229929 38989897 38839820
               38889737 39309658 40009627 40969655 41569729 41599797
               41429828 41109834 


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