Mesoscale Discussion 1140 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...East Texas...Central and Northern Louisiana...Far Southwest Arkansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373...380...381... Valid 030046Z - 030245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373, 380, 381 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to maintained across much of east Texas over the next few hours. Wind damage and hail will be the primary threats. The severe threat is expected to impact far southwest Arkansas and northern/western Louisiana later this evening, where a watch or extension may be needed. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a linear MCS ongoing across northeast Texas, with a warm advection wing of storms extending southeastward into the Sabine River Valley. The airmass ahead of the linear MCS is strongly unstable, with surface dewpoints in the mid 70s F, and the RAP analyzing MLCAPE in the 3000 to 3500 J/kg range. The severe threat will likely be maintained with the stronger cells embedded the MCS over the next few hours. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Shreveport has 0-6 km shear near 60 knots with strong speed shear in the mid-levels. In addition, mid-level flow appears to be maximized behind the MCS, as evident on RAP analysis. This should help continue a wind-damage threat along the leading edge of the MCS, as it moves southeastward at about 30 knots. The line of strong to severe storms will likely impact southwest Arkansas and western/northern Louisiana later this evening, where new watch issuance or an extension is possible. ..Broyles.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 32599635 32269739 31909753 31509724 31119643 30669501 30579348 31259250 32079205 32979218 33809366 33879462 33559487 32889551 32599635