Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1130

   Mesoscale Discussion 1130
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0653 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

   Areas affected...Central Kansas...northwest Oklahoma...eastern Texas
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

   Valid 132353Z - 140200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage
   this evening from central KS into the TX Panhandle.  Large hail will
   be the main threat initially, but damaging wind potential will
   increase by mid-evening.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of intense thunderstorms has developed in the
   past hour along the cold front between Dodge City and Great Bend. 
   These storms are tracking southeastward into a reservoir of very
   warm/moist and unstable air, with upscale organization into a linear
   MCS likely in the next couple of hours.  As this occurs, the risk of
   rather widespread damaging winds will also rise.  It is unclear how
   the isolated severe storms south of Wichita will affect the bowing
   line as it tracks southeastward in the next few hours.

   Other more isolated but intense storms have formed in the eastern TX
   Panhandle.  This activity will slowly develop eastward into
   northwest OK this evening with a risk of damaging wind gusts and
   hail.

   ..Hart.. 06/13/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36540140 37570058 38319940 38929789 37629671 37029778
               36809851 36239927 35410025 35250127 36540140 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN