Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1123

   Mesoscale Discussion 1123
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0546 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024

   Areas affected...the Eastern TX Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 021046Z - 021145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A supercell over the eastern Texas Panhandle may persist
   for a couple more hours as it drifts southward. A confined swath of
   large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. The limited
   spatial extent and uncertainty over longevity should preclude a WW
   issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Along the trailing outflow from a decayed MCS and
   remnant MCV over north-central OK, a supercell formed last hour in
   the northeast TX Panhandle. This storm has been rather slow-moving,
   drifting southward near 10 kts across Roberts County. Occasionally,
   this storm has had echo tops over 50k ft, along with MRMS MESH
   around 2 inches. In addition, robust inbound velocities have also
   been noted on the west to north side of the deep mesocyclone. With
   the Amarillo VWP showing relatively stable 30-35 kt low-level
   southerlies, it is plausible that this supercell may persist for at
   least a couple more hours as it gradually drifts towards the I-40
   corridor.

   ..Grams/Thompson.. 06/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35910074 35730060 35500036 35270037 35160059 35100088
               35330118 35630120 35820115 35910074