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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1119

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-13 13:02:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1119
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1119
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

   Areas affected...far southern Iowa into north-central Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326...

   Valid 131651Z - 131815Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind and isolated hail potential continues in
   WW326.

   DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues eastward across far
   southern Iowa into north-central Missouri, producing more recent
   gusts in to around 55-60 mph. Guidance suggests this will continue
   eastward for another couple of hours across northern Missouri.
   Sufficient MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and deep layer shear around 30
   kts will support potential for strong to severe wind and perhaps
   some isolated instances of hail. This will eventually weaken with
   time ahead of new convection developing to the west and as outflow
   from a complex of storms moves northward this afternoon. A
   downstream watch is not likely to be needed.

   ..Thornton.. 06/13/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   40469413 40829385 40899322 40639248 40199212 39579225
               39469300 39809383 39899416 39939422 40469413 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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