Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1116

   Mesoscale Discussion 1116
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0541 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

   Areas affected...parts of eastern TX and western LA

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367...

   Valid 012241Z - 020015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds and some hail may continue
   into the early evening. Storms should gradually weaken to the east.

   DISCUSSION...Across WW367, the ongoing cluster of severe storms
   appears likely to continue posing a risk for damaging winds and 
   hail for another couple of hours. The primary supercells responsible
   for the earlier significant hail reports have shown a tendency for
   clustering and upscale growth over the last couple of hours. Recent
   observational trends strongly suggest this will continue with the
   evolving cluster encountering outflow from another cluster of storms
   farther south and east. Continued upscale growth is likely as they
   track eastward toward the TX/LA border. Given the change in storm
   mode, the risk for damaging winds appears to be increasing, though
   some hail risk will likely remain possible. Storms should begin to
   slowly weaken as the continue eastward toward the eastern edge of
   WW367 this evening.

   ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   31429532 31739558 32199556 32729494 32729338 32649300
               32189291 31429300 31269314 31279358 31339490 31429532