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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1114

Mesoscale Discussion 1114
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1114
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0454 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

   Areas affected...much of eastern CO...western KS...and parts of
   western NE

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366...

   Valid 012154Z - 012300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366

   SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of severe storms should gradually mature
   and move east with a risk for hail and damaging winds. Additional
   storm development is possible farther east into parts of KS/NE.

   DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, regional observations showed several
   widely scattered clusters of strong to severe storms ongoing from
   southern WY into eastern CO and far western KS. Hail and damaging
   winds have occurred with these storms, and that threat will likely
   continue this afternoon and into the evening given moderate buoyancy
   and effective shear in place. 

   Additional storm development appears likely along the eastern
   fringes of WW366 later this afternoon into the evening from parts of
   northwest KS into southwestern NE. Deepening cumulus was noted along
   a modifying baroclinic zone from near GLD to OGA. Hi-res guidance
   and observation trends suggest a few more strong to severe storms
   are likely within this zone. Given the moderate buoyancy and bulk
   shear, organized storms capable of hail and damaging winds also
   appear likely. A tornado or two will also be possible given some
   enhanced low-level shear along the modified boundary.

   ..Lyons/Hart.. 06/01/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   37000239 37000321 37020367 37280374 39400379 41150400
               41910374 42350260 42420147 42210100 41660064 40920045
               39150027 38560049 37540126 37100190 37000239 

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