US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1113

Mesoscale Discussion 1113
< Previous MD
MD 1113 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1113
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0300 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

   Areas affected...North-Central into Northeast TX

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 012000Z - 012130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm threat will spread
   east-southeastward across northeast TX through late afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Some modest intensification has been noted with a
   persistent storm cluster moving through the eastern Metroplex and
   approaching northeast TX. This cluster may continue propagating
   east-southeastward along a sharpening instability gradient,
   potentially aided by the MCV moving across north TX. 

   Modest west-northwesterly midlevel flow will continue to provide
   sufficient effective shear for storm organization, with a continued
   threat for a supercell or two within the larger storm cluster.
   Relatively weak midlevel lapse rates may temper the hail threat to
   some extent, though at least isolated instances of severe hail will
   remain possible through the afternoon. Some threat for isolated
   damaging wind will also persist, especially if any further upscale
   growth occurs this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible if an
   increase in the magnitude and coverage of the severe threat becomes

   ..Dean/Smith.. 06/01/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   32519682 32799612 32639455 32279431 31629457 31549538
               31669636 31869679 31989693 32359690 32519682 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home

Source link