Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1091

   Mesoscale Discussion 1091
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0320 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

   Areas affected...Central to southeast TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358...

   Valid 310820Z - 310945Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe wind threat will persist through daybreak with a
   bowing QLCS and expand into parts of east-central to southeast
   Texas. An additional severe thunderstorm watch is expected to parts
   of the Southeast Texas Coastal Plain. Wind gusts of 50-65 mph will
   remain likely with localized enhancements of 65-80 mph possible.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing QLCS has accelerated in forward motion across
   central TX to around 45-50 kts, with measured wind gusts to 62 mph
   reported thus far. This eastward surge along the northeast portion
   of the QLCS will likely persist into east-central TX before it
   impinges on remnant stratiform rain and greater low-level stability
   over northeast TX.

   A secondary bowing surge may eventually emanate out of the trailing
   southwest portion of the QLCS. Persistent deep convection here is
   about to impinge on the warmer/more moist boundary-layer west of
   Austin. This may similarly begin to intensify and surge
   southeastward through the greater Austin area and eventually towards
   the Houston Metro area. With favorable low-level inflow and
   pronounced enhancement to rearward flow based on time-series of DYX
   VWP data, it is appears likely that an organized QLCS will continue
   towards the southeast TX Coastal Plain through daybreak.

   ..Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   32199761 32139718 32049667 31899597 31599518 30999481
               30529474 30209479 29609506 29349671 29949799 30239870
               30679920 30969887 31209796 31469773 32199761