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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1074

Mesoscale Discussion 1074
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1074
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0202 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

   Areas affected...northwest TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351...

   Valid 300702Z - 300830Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351

   SUMMARY...The severe threat appears to be diminishing within WW 351,
   while an isolated severe hail/wind threat should persist farther
   east in a portion of northwest Texas.

   DISCUSSION...The longer-lived supercell that produced significant
   severe in east-central NM, weakened substantially as it shifted eat
   into the TX South Plains. This appears to be in response to
   impinging on greater MLCIN, despite larger buoyancy to its
   southeast. Meanwhile, a cluster flare-up has occurred downstream
   towards the southeast TX Panhandle. This cluster has shown some
   organization, although the cluster mode appears to be limiting hail
   magnitudes. Isolated severe hail will probably remain most prominent
   within the southwest portion of this cluster development back to the
   remnant supercell. Localized severe wind gusts may become the
   overarching threat as the cluster gradually shifts east. How long
   this threat will last is uncertain, but it's plausible it will
   continue through the rest of pre-dawn.

   ..Grams.. 05/30/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34190267 34280186 34610113 34800071 34810037 34679993
               34279983 34029997 33880033 33780133 33740216 33900275

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