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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1063

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-10 08:45:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1063
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1063
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0743 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

   Areas affected...Northern Missouri into southeast Iowa

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 101243Z - 101445Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Weak convection will move into an increasingly unstable
   environment by late morning/early afternoon. This activity will need
   to be monitored. A watch is not likely in the near term, however.

   DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough in the
   lower Missouri Valley with additional lift provided by a weak MCV in
   eastern Kansas. Weak convection has developed in response to these
   features this morning. While this activity is expected to remain
   weak in the short term, recent runs of the HRRR appear to capture
   this weak cluster and intensify it sometime by late this morning
   into early afternoon. Observational trends will need to be monitored
   over the coming hours. A watch is not likely in the near term.

   ..Wendt/Guyer.. 06/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   39489509 40469459 42079199 41749095 40809078 39569294
               39199413 39489509 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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