Remnants of Nadine Forecast Discussion

011 
WTNT45 KNHC 201442
TCDAT5

Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152024
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024

First-light GOES-16 imagery and station observations suggest that
the surface circulation associated with Nadine has dissipated over 
southern Mexico. Peak sustained winds remain 25 kt, mainly over the 
Bay of Campeche.

The remnants of Nadine are moving toward the west-southwest at 
around 12 kt and they are expected to move into the eastern Pacific 
later today.

The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a Gulf 
of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the 
formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern 
Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after that 
time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the early 
to middle part of this week while the system moves westward at about 
15 kt away from the coast of Mexico. 

For additional information on the remnants of Nadine as it enters 
the eastern Pacific please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header 
FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php, 
and the latest updates in the East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook 
on the web at hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac.


Key Messages:

1. Localized areas of flash flooding will remain possible in 
the vicinity of the remnants of Nadine across Belize, northern 
Guatemala, and southern Mexico through Tuesday morning. 


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/1500Z 16.5N  93.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Landsea