078 WTNT22 KNHC 292055 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022 2100 UTC WED JUN 29 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER NORTHWARD TO LAGUNA DE PERLAS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF LAGUNA DE PERLAS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI. THE GOVERNMENT OF COSTA RICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM LIMON NORTHWARD TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER TO LAGUNA DE PERLAS NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BONAIRE * CURACAO * ARUBA * COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM THE PENINSULA DE PARAGUANA WESTWARD TO THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA * COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER WESTWARD TO SANTA MARTA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER * NORTH OF LAGUNA DE PERLAS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 69.0W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 69.0W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.8N 71.8W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.0N 75.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.7N 79.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.4N 82.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.1N 85.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.2N 87.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 12.3N 92.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N 98.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 69.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 30/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH