000 WTPZ43 KNHC 032036 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Georgette Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082022 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 03 2022 Convection associated with Georgette dissipated this morning, and only a few isolated showers have development since that time. The small circulation now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. Although small bursts of convection could still develop in associated with the system over the next day or so, it has not had appreciable organized deep convection in quite some time. Therefore, it no longer meets the definition of a tropical cyclone, and this will be the final NHC advisory on Georgette. The initial intensity has been reduced to 25 kt. Weakening should continue over the next 24 to 36 hours as the systems moves over SSTs below 26C and into a dry mid-level environment. The low is expected to become an open trough in 36 to 48 hours as indicated by the global model guidance. The cyclone is now moving northward at about 7 kt. A low-level ridge is forecast to build to the north of the system, and this should cause the low to turn westward on Thursday. A general westward motion should then continue until dissipate occurs. The new NHC track prediction is a little north of the previous advisory to be in better agreement with the latest dynamical model guidance envelope. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 17.5N 129.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0600Z 18.2N 129.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/1800Z 18.7N 131.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0600Z 18.7N 133.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown