Hurricane Priscilla Forecast Advisory Number 7

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 060841
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
0900 UTC MON OCT 06 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N 107.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 109.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  35NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 111.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 113.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.8N 114.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 25.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.5N 116.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 06/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH