Hurricane Priscilla Forecast Advisory Number 10

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 070244
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
0300 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  45SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 390SE 240SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.8N 109.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.7N 110.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.8N 113.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N 115.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.4N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 29.7N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 108.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 07/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN