000
FOPZ11 KNHC 120833
PWSEP1
HURRICANE PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021
0900 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 18(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
LA PAZ 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 34(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 8 54(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MAZATLAN 34 3 58(61) 32(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
MAZATLAN 50 X 11(11) 54(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
MAZATLAN 64 X 2( 2) 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
SAN BLAS 34 2 5( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
P VALLARTA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 110W 34 47 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI