Hurricane Oscar Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT21 KNHC 201453
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162024
1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  73.9W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  73.9W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  73.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.4N  74.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N  75.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.1N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.1N  75.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N  73.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  73.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 20/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN