Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 17

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 252034
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
2100 UTC THU SEP 25 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 118.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 160SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 118.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.4N 120.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.9N 122.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.4N 124.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.2N 126.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.1N 127.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.3N 127.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 126.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.6N 125.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 118.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS