Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 15

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 250838
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
0900 UTC THU SEP 25 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....225NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 116.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.3N 119.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.2N 125.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N 125.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.2N 125.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.0N 124.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 114.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)