Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 11

713 
WTPZ24 KNHC 240839
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
0900 UTC WED SEP 24 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.5W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....105NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.5W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 112.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 114.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.5N 116.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 119.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.6N 121.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.6N 123.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.4N 124.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.8N 123.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 110.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)