Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT24 KNHC 101441
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  78.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 180SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  78.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  79.5W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.6N  75.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...330NE 160SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.9N  70.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.0N  64.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.9N  60.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.4N  57.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N  53.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  78.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG