Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT23 KNHC 101432
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  50.4W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  50.4W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  50.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N  50.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.7N  50.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.1N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.8N  45.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.3N  41.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.2N  35.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  70SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N  25.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  50.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN