Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240834
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0900 UTC THU OCT 24 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 118.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 105SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 118.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 118.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.2N 121.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.9N 123.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.7N 128.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 129.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.1N 131.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.7N 133.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 118.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN