Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 231441
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
1500 UTC WED OCT 23 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.1N 119.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 122.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 127.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 129.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 113.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART