Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 250834
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0900 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  932 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.4W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 125.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.9N 127.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.9N 128.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.7N 129.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.8N 130.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.0N 131.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 123.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN