Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPA14 PHFO 082048
PWSCP4
                                                                    
HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP112025         
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                    
2100 UTC MON SEP 08 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75   
KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 150W       34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
20N 151W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 156W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HANA           34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)
26N 159W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)  13(40)   X(40)   X(40)
25N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)
25N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
30N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
30N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER SHIEH/PAPIN
  



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