000
FOPZ12 KNHC 082053
PWSEP2
HURRICANE KAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022
2100 UTC THU SEP 08 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OXNARD CA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
S CATALINA IS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
TIJUANA 34 1 5( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ENSENADA 34 2 18(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
IS GUADALUPE 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 82 X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
PUNTA EUGENIA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
P ABREOJOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P ABREOJOS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LORETO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P PENASCO 34 7 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BAHIA KINO 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
GUAYMAS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
25N 115W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
30N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN