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HURRICANE KAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022
1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75
KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OXNARD CA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
S CATALINA IS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
TIJUANA 34 X 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ENSENADA 34 3 8(11) 16(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
ENSENADA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
IS GUADALUPE 34 4 10(14) 4(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 63 15(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
PUNTA EUGENIA 64 21 20(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
P ABREOJOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P ABREOJOS 50 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
P ABREOJOS 64 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
LORETO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P PENASCO 34 5 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
HERMOSILLO 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BAHIA KINO 34 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
GUAYMAS 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
HUATABAMPO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
25N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
30N 120W 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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