201
FOPZ12 KNHC 080247
PWSEP2
HURRICANE KAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80
KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TIJUANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11)
ENSENADA 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 13(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
IS GUADALUPE 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 11 71(82) 6(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X 38(38) 15(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
P ABREOJOS 34 67 31(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
P ABREOJOS 50 2 47(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
P ABREOJOS 64 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PAZ 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
LORETO 34 30 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
P PENASCO 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HERMOSILLO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 5 12(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
GUAYMAS 34 6 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
HUATABAMPO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
25N 115W 34 68 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
25N 115W 50 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
25N 115W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
30N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH