Hurricane John Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 262038
TCMEP5

HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102024
2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 102.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 130SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 330SE 270SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 102.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 102.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.6N 103.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 10NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N 104.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.8N 106.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.6N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 102.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 27/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY