Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT25 KNHC 282041
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N  38.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  70SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE 130SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 330SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N  38.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N  39.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 42.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.7N  35.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.8N  32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.1N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 48.3N  28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 50.4N  27.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 54.0N  26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 56.9N  23.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.3N  38.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI