Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Hone Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA11 PHFO 252036
PWSCP1

HURRICANE HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012024         
2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                            

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HILO           34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

18N 156W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SOUTH POINT    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

21N 156W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

KAHULUI        34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

21N 158W       34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BARKING SANDS  34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HANA           34  5  18(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

LANAI CITY     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BUOY 51002     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HONOLULU       34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LIHUE          34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 160W       34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 160W       34 30  50(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
20N 160W       50  2  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

NIIHAU         34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

21N 160W       34  4  10(14)   1(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

BUOY 51003     34 11  81(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BUOY 51003     50  1  47(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
BUOY 51003     64  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

NIHOA          34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

22N 164W       34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NECKER         34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 165W       34  X   3( 3)  21(24)  32(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  33(35)   2(37)   X(37)
20N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD                                                 



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