990
FOPZ11 KNHC 182034
PWSEP1
HURRICANE ESTELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062022
2100 UTC MON JUL 18 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA CLARION 34 90 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA CLARION 50 35 45(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
ISLA CLARION 64 2 33(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
15N 115W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 115W 34 23 39(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
20N 115W 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 120W 34 X 5( 5) 43(48) 30(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 30(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
25N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13)
25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI