000 WTNT31 KNHC 100840 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 500 AM AST Sat Sep 10 2022 ...EARL FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THIS AFTERNOON... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.2N 53.5W ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 41.2 North, longitude 53.5 West. Earl is moving rapidly toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A significant reduction in forward speed is expected today, with Earl moving slowly northeastward to the southeast of Newfoundland tonight through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Earl is forecast to become a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low this afternoon. Weakening is expected during the next few days, and Earl's winds are likely to fall below hurricane force tonight or early Sunday. Earl's wind field is expanding. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Strong winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland this afternoon through Sunday, after Earl becomes a post-tropical low. SURF: Swells generated by Earl will affect Bermuda, portions of the U.S. East Coast, and Nova Scotia and Newfoundland in Canada during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg