Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Earl Forecast Advisory


329 
WTNT21 KNHC 090845
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  62.4W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  70SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT.......100NE 110SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 290SE 270SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  62.4W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  63.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N  59.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 190SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 39.2N  55.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 290SE 250SW 260NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 42.7N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 330SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.1N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.9N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.5N  49.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE 210SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.4N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 46.0N  40.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  62.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





Source link