Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Dora Forecast Advisory



000
WTPA22 PHFO 070240
TCMCP2

HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0300 UTC MON AUG 07 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 144.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 144.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 143.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.4N 150.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.2N 154.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.2N 158.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.4N 162.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 12.9N 165.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 13.9N 173.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 16.1N 179.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 144.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE/M BALLARD




Source link