Pacific Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Carlotta Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-03 04:55:51



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 030855
TCMEP3

HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
0900 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 118.9W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 118.9W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 118.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 120.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 122.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 124.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.7N 126.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.4N 129.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.1N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 22.1N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 118.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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