Hurricane Carlotta Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 022037
TCMEP3

HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
2100 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 116.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 116.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 120.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.6N 122.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 124.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 126.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN