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Hurricane Models - Refer to Map. The OFCL is the official National Hurricane Center model. | |||
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Atlantic Active Storm Imagery
ERIN FLOATER

ERIN NHC TRACK
Tropical Cyclone Genesis and Formation Probability




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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
416 ABNT20 KNHC 141738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Erin, located east of the Leeward Islands. Southwestern Gulf (AL98): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with an area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf during the next day or so, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before this system moves inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas by late Friday ending its chances for tropical development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter is en route to investigate this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci